Canelo Alvarez vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. – Full Fight Preview
Canelo vs. Chavez Jr.- Tale of the Tape
|Saul Alvarez||Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.|
|Last 5||5-0, 3 KOs||4-1, 0 KOs|
Canelo vs. Chavez Jr. – Fight Preview
Canelo-Chavez Jr. will take place on May 6th at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The fight, which will be the biggest pay-per-view bout of the year, will be televised on HBO PPV (9 PM Eastern time) in the US. The fight will not be for any belt, but the title of Mexico’s biggest and best fighter will be on the line. Alvarez is boxing’s biggest star at the moment, while Chavez Jr. is the son of Mexico’s greatest champion and one of the most popular Mexican fighters today.
Saul “Canelo” Alvarez is the top pay-per-view star on the planet right now thanks to a huge following in his home country of Mexico and the backing of Oscar De La Hoya’s Golden Boy Promotions. A heavy favorite to win, the 26-year-old Alvarez has already been in the ring with Hall of Famers like Shane Mosley, Miguel Cotto, and Floyd Mayweather and boasts a near-perfect record. Canelo’s only loss came via majority decision to Mayweather back in 2013, when Alvarez was just 23. With this fight taking place at a catchweight of 164.5 pounds, we will see if Canelo can go toe-to-toe with a significantly bigger man and come out victorious.
Alvarez, a two-weight world champion, is a counter-puncher with a well-rounded arsenal of punches; his straight right hand is his best shot in my opinion. Canelo also throws great uppercuts with both hands and has a solid left hook. If you stand in front of him, Alvarez becomes one of the deadliest combination punchers in boxing today. In his fights against Miguel Cotto and Liam Smith, Canelo also proved that he has a world-class chin. In terms of weaknesses, Alvarez has fairly slow feet and can have trouble cutting of the ring against mobile opponents. Although he hits hard, he does not have elite power, rather, a level below elite.
Julio Cesar Chavez Jr., a former middleweight world champion, has had an up-and-down career but still remains one of Mexico’s biggest names. Whether or not he deserves the attention he is getting from this fight will be answered on May 6th. Chavez Jr. has been criticized in the past for a lack of discipline during training. In his two losses (one a lopsided decision defeat to Sergio Martinez and the other a loss to Andrzej Fonfara in which Chavez gave up in between rounds), Chavez was outworked and overall outclassed. The fight against Alvarez will be just the third fight in the past three years for Chavez Jr.
“The Son of a Legend” has inherited many of his father’s tools in the ring, including power in both hands and a granite chin. Chavez Jr., when on his A-game, has fast hands and a strong right hand. JC Jr. does not throw a ton of jabs, instead he relies on his size and reach to land shots from optimal distance. Chavez’s main weakness is his lack of defense. Rather than using much head movement or footwork to avoid getting hit, Chavez Jr. will, most of the time, rely on his chin and handspeed to win exchanges.
Canelo is the favorite for good reason, as he has proven he is one of the top fighters in boxing not just in terms of popularity but also talent. However, Chavez. Jr also possesses plenty of talent himself. The question we all are waiting to see answered is will Chavez, who weighed in at 164 pounds, be healthy at this weight, and will he leave everything in the ring come the night of May 6th? If Chavez Jr. is not at the top of his game, things could get ugly by the middle of the fight. But if Chavez uses his height and reach and keeps Alvarez on the end of his punches, he could pull off what the majority of boxing fans would call a major upset. The gameplan for Canelo should be to go to the body enough to open up shots to the head of Chavez, as head hunting and trading blows might not be the best idea for Canelo against the bigger man.
Canelo vs. Chavez Jr. – Prediction
I predict a unanimous decision victory for Canelo Alvarez. Although at first I was leaning more towards a knockout win for Canelo, I think there is a good chance that both of these fighters’ chins hold up and neither gets finished inside the distance. I would not be surprised if either one gets stopped, but something tells me it will go the distance and Canelo will earn a decision due to being the busier fighter. Chavez is pretty thin at 164 pounds though, so a lot depends on whether he shows up in the ring in good shape or if he is simply too drained to last twelve rounds with a fighter of Canelo’s caliber.
The betting lines have Alvarez has a significant favorite, but as I said, if Chavez Jr. shows up healthy and sticks to a smart gameplan, he 100% has the ability to beat Canelo. Chavez Jr. tends to do well against smaller fighters who do not move well, and Alvarez technically fits that label. One fact to note: Chavez Jr. has not knocked out anybody above 160 pounds.
Canelo vs. Chavez Jr. – Undercard
The Canelo-Chavez Jr. undercard will include*:
- David Lemieux vs. Marcos Reyes (10 rounds, middleweight)
- Lucas Matthysse vs. Emmanuel Taylor (10 rounds, welterweight)
- Joseph Diaz vs. Manuel Avila (10 rounds, featherweight)
David Lemieux, a heavy hitting former champion, is an exciting fighter who could end up fighting Canelo in the future, while his opponent Reyes is a solid veteran from Mexico. Matthysse is a hard hitting veteran who will look to knock out the 26-year-old Taylor as he tries to get back to the top. Joseph “JoJo” Diaz is a rising star in the featherweight division who will take on another young up-and-comer in Manuel Avila.
*not necessarily limited to just the above featured fights, undercard fights may not be televised
Do you agree with my prediction? Probably not, so feel free to comment below!